← Back to all signals

ADT ADT Inc.

Last updated: Mar 16, 2026

🐻

Execution Consistency

Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?

Bought back stock in only 1/4 quarters. Q3 2025: $0M, Q2 2025: $0M, Q1 2025: $93M, Q3 2024: $0M

🐻

Execution Acceleration

Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?

Latest quarter $0M vs trailing avg $31M (-100%)

Buyback vs FCF

What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30-80%. Bear: <10% or >80%.

Negative FCF ($-1M), cannot compute buyback ratio

🐂

Buyback Intensity

How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.

Repurchased 45,000,000 shares = 8.0% of 753,622,044 outstanding (annualized)

Insider Buying

Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?

1 open-market purchase by Scott David A.

  • Scott David A. (EVP, Chief People & Admin. Off) bought 7,300 shares at $6.72 on 2026-03-05
🐻

Insider-Buyback Convergence

Are insider purchases happening during the same quarters the company is actively buying back stock?

Insider buying coincided with company buybacks in 0 of 4 quarters

🐻

Insider Net Direction

Looking at all open-market transactions, are insiders net buyers or net sellers?

Insiders bought $0M, sold $2.7B (net selling)

Red Flag

Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.

No buyback-insider divergence detected