AGO ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?

Bought back stock in 4/4 quarters. Q1 2026: $120M, Q3 2025: $131M, Q2 2025: $152M, Q1 2025: $129M

Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?

Latest quarter $120M vs trailing avg $137M (-13%)

What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30%+. Bear: negative FCF or no buybacks.

Negative FCF ($-58M), buybacks not supported by cash flow

How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.

Missing shares repurchased or outstanding data

Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?

1 open-market purchase by ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

• ASSURED GUARANTY LTD () bought 242,718 shares at $24.72 on 2026-04-30

Are both company buybacks and insider buying independently active? Bull when the company is buying back stock in 2+ quarters and insiders have made 2+ open-market purchases.

Company buybacks in 4 quarters but insufficient insider buying

Over the last 90 days, are insiders net buyers or net sellers on the open market?

Insiders bought $6M, sold $14M in the last 90 days (net selling)

Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.

Company buying back stock while insiders sold 4.5x more than bought. 3 C-suite officers among sellers

• FREDERICO DOMINIC (President/CEO/Deputy Chairman) sold 29,998 shares on 2026-03-23
• FREDERICO DOMINIC (President/CEO/Deputy Chairman) sold 20,002 shares on 2026-03-20
• FREDERICO DOMINIC (President/CEO/Deputy Chairman) sold 25,000 shares on 2025-09-23
• Bailenson Robert (Chief Operating Officer) sold 40,000 shares on 2025-08-11
• FREDERICO DOMINIC (President/CEO/Deputy Chairman) sold 71,917 shares on 2025-05-19
• FREDERICO DOMINIC (President/CEO/Deputy Chairman) sold 10,438 shares on 2025-05-20
• Bieling Laura (Chief Accounting Officer) sold 2,649 shares on 2025-05-13