← Back to all signals

GEO GEO GROUP INC

Last updated: May 11, 2026

Execution Consistency

Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?

Bought back stock in 2/4 quarters. Q1 2026: $0M, Q3 2021: $1M, Q2 2021: $0M, Q1 2021: $9M

🐻

Execution Acceleration

Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?

Latest quarter $0M vs trailing avg $3M (-100%)

🐻

Buyback vs FCF

What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30%+. Bear: negative FCF or no buybacks.

Negative FCF ($-139M), buybacks not supported by cash flow

🐂

Buyback Intensity

How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.

Repurchased 15,259,248 shares = 11.2% of 136,242,983 outstanding (annualized)

🐻

Insider Buying

Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?

No insider open-market purchases in the last 12 months

Insider-Buyback Convergence

Are both company buybacks and insider buying independently active? Bull when the company is buying back stock in 2+ quarters and insiders have made 2+ open-market purchases.

Need both buyback and insider purchase data

🐻

Insider Net Direction

Over the last 90 days, are insiders net buyers or net sellers on the open market?

Insiders bought $0M, sold $0M in the last 90 days (net selling)

🚩

Red Flag

Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.

Company buying back stock while insiders sold 8221646.3x more than bought