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GEO GEO GROUP INC

Last updated: Mar 16, 2026

Execution Consistency

Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?

Bought back stock in 2/4 quarters. Q3 2021: $1M, Q2 2021: $0M, Q1 2021: $9M, Q3 2020: $0M

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Execution Acceleration

Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?

Latest quarter $1M vs trailing avg $3M (-82%)

Buyback vs FCF

What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30-80%. Bear: <10% or >80%.

Negative FCF ($-34M), cannot compute buyback ratio

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Buyback Intensity

How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.

Repurchased 14,200,000 shares = 10.1% of 140,181,318 outstanding (annualized)

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Insider Buying

Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?

No insider open-market purchases in the last 12 months

Insider-Buyback Convergence

Are insider purchases happening during the same quarters the company is actively buying back stock?

Need both buyback and insider purchase data

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Insider Net Direction

Looking at all open-market transactions, are insiders net buyers or net sellers?

Insiders bought $0M, sold $0M (net selling)

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Red Flag

Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.

Company buying back stock while insiders sold 101086.9x more than bought