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RDN RADIAN GROUP INC

Last updated: Mar 16, 2026

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Execution Consistency

Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?

Bought back stock in 4/4 quarters. Q3 2025: $49M, Q2 2025: $50M, Q1 2025: $50M, Q3 2024: $50M

Execution Acceleration

Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?

Latest quarter $49M vs trailing avg $50M (-2%)

Buyback vs FCF

What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30-80%. Bear: <10% or >80%.

Negative FCF ($-24M), cannot compute buyback ratio

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Buyback Intensity

How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.

Repurchased 16,245,000 shares = 10.6% of 153,179,000 outstanding (annualized)

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Insider Buying

Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?

No insider open-market purchases in the last 12 months

Insider-Buyback Convergence

Are insider purchases happening during the same quarters the company is actively buying back stock?

Need both buyback and insider purchase data

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Insider Net Direction

Looking at all open-market transactions, are insiders net buyers or net sellers?

Insiders bought $0M, sold $8M (net selling)

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Red Flag

Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.

Company buying back stock while insiders sold 8340491.0x more than bought. 2 C-suite officers among sellers

  • Ray Eric (Sr EVP, Chief Digital Officer) sold 13,957 shares on 2025-12-02
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-10-28
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-09-23
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-08-26
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-07-29
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-06-24
  • Ray Eric (Sr EVP, Chief Digital Officer) sold 30,000 shares on 2025-06-06
  • Thornberry Richard G (Chief Executive Officer) sold 20,000 shares on 2025-05-28