UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC
Last updated: May 11, 2026
Execution Consistency
Did the company actually spend money buying back stock in 3+ of the last 4 quarters?
Bought back stock in 3/4 quarters. Q3 2022: $1M, Q2 2022: $1M, Q1 2022: $0M, Q3 2021: $0M
Execution Acceleration
Is the most recent quarter's buyback spend more than 15% above the trailing average?
Latest quarter $1M vs trailing avg $0M (+198%)
Buyback vs FCF
What percentage of free cash flow is going to buybacks? Bull: 30%+. Bear: negative FCF or no buybacks.
Buyback $2M / FCF $50M = 4% of FCF
Buyback Intensity
How fast are they shrinking the float? Bull: 2%+ annually. Bear: under 0.5%.
Repurchased 481,488 shares = 1.9% of 25,522,051 outstanding (annualized)
Insider Buying
Are officers and directors buying stock with their own money on the open market?
1 open-market purchase by Martin Eric J
- Martin Eric J (Chief Financial Officer) bought 500 shares at $29.00 on 2025-08-11
Insider-Buyback Convergence
Are both company buybacks and insider buying independently active? Bull when the company is buying back stock in 2+ quarters and insiders have made 2+ open-market purchases.
Company buybacks in 3 quarters but insufficient insider buying
Insider Net Direction
Over the last 90 days, are insiders net buyers or net sellers on the open market?
Insiders bought $0M, sold $1M in the last 90 days (net selling)
Red Flag
Active buyback + insiders net selling 3x+ more than buying. Company cash may be supporting price while insiders exit.
Company buying back stock while insiders sold 73.0x more than bought